Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 7.934641 9.369640 10.949951 12.813929 14.946597 17.304568 20.102825
2025-02-02 6.041884 7.957796 10.265813 13.227948 16.903233 21.286327 26.879005
2025-02-09 4.916556 7.092960 9.915424 13.791789 18.917052 25.394883 34.123866
2025-02-16 3.942376 6.172656 9.260576 13.759054 20.038451 28.371146 40.117081
2025-02-23 3.118010 5.272256 8.441724 13.314091 20.454516 30.346415 44.848928
2025-03-02 2.472171 4.498748 7.656332 12.758916 20.576897 31.836041 48.931455
2025-03-09 2.090772 4.064127 7.299469 12.761251 21.457258 34.402494 54.648044
2025-03-16 1.793669 3.711982 7.011339 12.811555 22.377137 37.050714 60.617323
2025-03-23 1.537830 3.383258 6.707650 12.782418 23.139077 39.478131 66.374163
2025-03-30 1.259283 2.956749 6.167382 12.275138 23.049756 40.540840 70.059102
2025-04-06 1.092314 2.719014 5.932047 12.264129 23.770741 42.915179 75.918384
2025-04-13 0.944189 2.491315 5.680806 12.187131 24.354424 45.081322 81.544329
2025-04-20 0.887422 2.459922 5.820245 12.874278 26.380978 49.837371 91.787367
2025-04-27 0.820122 2.391830 5.875916 13.404854 28.166559 54.299959 101.807347
2025-05-04 0.765712 2.344271 5.967332 14.012695 30.139215 59.201625 112.834998
2025-05-11 0.670365 2.172796 5.763503 13.991249 30.905151 62.009282 120.395613
2025-05-18 0.560863 1.937868 5.379889 13.543355 30.792482 63.213476 125.193867
2025-05-25 0.462132 1.707437 4.968550 12.980969 30.389841 63.839336 128.967401
2025-06-01 0.407376 1.592742 4.819905 12.983679 31.131351 66.630419 136.780662
2025-06-08 0.361812 1.495167 4.699205 13.034847 31.972531 69.650808 145.154894
2025-06-15 0.318559 1.393697 4.552188 13.005303 32.633826 72.352674 153.057024
2025-06-22 0.263382 1.234632 4.222148 12.490363 32.188423 72.842775 156.789232
2025-06-29 0.232621 1.154820 4.100687 12.479190 32.857671 75.587879 164.962958